The Value of a Consensus? Not Much


If you want a very easy to explain why a “consensus” on a forecast is worthless, one simply needs to look at the College Football Rankings. Weather Forecasters can’t accurately predict the weather one week in the future, Stock Market Analysts can’t predict the Stock Market one week in the future, but the easiest way to debunk the value of a “consensus” are the college football rankings. Just this weekend consensus #1 Alabama fell to Auburn, and the game wasn’t even close. Last year consensus #1 Alabama got beat by Clemson for the National Championship. Rarely, if ever, does the pre-Season #1 ever end up winning the National Championship. Sports handicapping experts, the entire Las Vegas machine, and the collective mind of the College Football Loving World have an awful record of picking winners, but they are still far better than the record produced by the Slimate Clience “experts.”

After 30 Years, Alarmists Are Still Predicting A Global Warming ‘Apocalypse’

To celebrate nearly three decades of dire predictions, The Daily Caller News Foundation put together this list of some of the most severe doomsday prophecies made by scientists, activists and politicians:

1. Apocalyptic warnings on repeat

A group of 1,700 scientists and experts signed a letter 25 years ago warning of massive ecological and societal collapse if nothing was done to curb overpopulation, pollution and, ultimately, the capitalist society in which we live today.

The Union of Concerned Scientists put out a second letter earlier this year, once again warning of the dire consequences of global warming and other alleged ecological ills. Now numbering 15,000, the group warns “soon it will be too late to shift course away from our failing trajectory, and time is running out.”

“We must recognize, in our day-to-day lives and in our governing institutions, that Earth with all its life is our only home,” the scientists and experts warned.

It’s a terrifying warning — if you ignore the fact that none of their 1992 warning has come to fruition.

Read More: Failed Predictions of Slimate Climatists

Before 1960s-’70s Global Cooling Was Erased, It Caused Droughts, Crop Failures, Glacier Advance, Ice Age Threats

Changing Scientific Consensus

1970s: Global Cooling A Serious Threat

Today: Global Cooling Never Happened

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